{ "title": "Less violence. More fraud. Why don’t we feel safer?", "publication": "2026-11-01", "version": 2, "charts": [ { "kind": "line", "title": "RISK OF VIOLENCE\nOVER THIRTY YEARS", "series": [ { "label": "Adults experiencing violence", "points": [ { "x": 1995.0, "y": 4.7, "label": "1995" }, { "x": 1997.0, "y": 4.4, "label": "1997" }, { "x": 1999.0, "y": 4.0, "label": "1999" }, { "x": 2002.0, "y": 3.3, "label": "YE Mar 2002" }, { "x": 2003.0, "y": 3.3, "label": "YE Mar 2003" }, { "x": 2004.0, "y": 3.4, "label": "YE Mar 2004" }, { "x": 2005.0, "y": 2.9, "label": "YE Mar 2005" }, { "x": 2006.0, "y": 2.8, "label": "YE Mar 2006" }, { "x": 2007.0, "y": 3.1, "label": "YE Mar 2007" }, { "x": 2008.0, "y": 2.7, "label": "YE Mar 2008" }, { "x": 2009.0, "y": 2.7, "label": "YE Mar 2009" }, { "x": 2010.0, "y": 2.4, "label": "YE Mar 2010" }, { "x": 2011.0, "y": 2.7, "label": "YE Mar 2011" }, { "x": 2012.0, "y": 2.5, "label": "YE Mar 2012" }, { "x": 2013.0, "y": 2.2, "label": "YE Mar 2013" }, { "x": 2014.0, "y": 1.8, "label": "YE Mar 2014" }, { "x": 2015.0, "y": 1.8, "label": "YE Mar 2015" }, { "x": 2016.0, "y": 1.8, "label": "YE Mar 2016" }, { "x": 2017.0, "y": 1.7, "label": "YE Mar 2017" }, { "x": 2018.0, "y": 1.7, "label": "YE Mar 2018" }, { "x": 2019.0, "y": 1.7, "label": "YE Mar 2019" }, { "x": 2020.0, "y": 1.6, "label": "YE Mar 2020" }, { "x": 2023.0, "y": 1.3, "label": "YE Mar 2023" }, { "x": 2024.0, "y": 1.4, "label": "YE Mar 2024" }, { "x": 2025.0, "y": 1.4, "label": "YE Mar 2025" }, { "x": 2026.0, "y": 1.3, "label": "YE Mar 2026" } ] } ], "unit": "%", "footer": "England and Wales • 1995–YE Mar 2026 • adults 16+; survey, not police records.", "breaks": [ 2001, 2021, 2023 ], "survey": true, "sources": [ { "sha256": "a94c57951ff507c833e4c2d000a8f668674457702c6e6c62beb0cdb8343a7c0f", "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/datasets/crimeinenglandandwalesappendixtables", "note": "No estimates for the years ending March 2021 and 2022: face-to-face interviewing stopped during Covid.; Survey years run January–December to 1999, then April–March from 2001-02." } ] }, { "kind": "line", "title": "BURGLARY RISK\nALSO CHANGED", "series": [ { "label": "Households experiencing burglary", "points": [ { "x": 1995.0, "y": 8.5, "label": "1995" }, { "x": 1997.0, "y": 7.4, "label": "1997" }, { "x": 1999.0, "y": 6.3, "label": "1999" }, { "x": 2002.0, "y": 5.1, "label": "YE Mar 2002" }, { "x": 2003.0, "y": 4.8, "label": "YE Mar 2003" }, { "x": 2004.0, "y": 4.5, "label": "YE Mar 2004" }, { "x": 2005.0, "y": 3.8, "label": "YE Mar 2005" }, { "x": 2006.0, "y": 3.5, "label": "YE Mar 2006" }, { "x": 2007.0, "y": 3.6, "label": "YE Mar 2007" }, { "x": 2008.0, "y": 3.3, "label": "YE Mar 2008" }, { "x": 2009.0, "y": 3.4, "label": "YE Mar 2009" }, { "x": 2010.0, "y": 3.2, "label": "YE Mar 2010" }, { "x": 2011.0, "y": 3.5, "label": "YE Mar 2011" }, { "x": 2012.0, "y": 3.2, "label": "YE Mar 2012" }, { "x": 2013.0, "y": 2.9, "label": "YE Mar 2013" }, { "x": 2014.0, "y": 2.6, "label": "YE Mar 2014" }, { "x": 2015.0, "y": 2.7, "label": "YE Mar 2015" }, { "x": 2016.0, "y": 2.3, "label": "YE Mar 2016" }, { "x": 2017.0, "y": 2.1, "label": "YE Mar 2017" }, { "x": 2018.0, "y": 2.3, "label": "YE Mar 2018" }, { "x": 2019.0, "y": 2.4, "label": "YE Mar 2019" }, { "x": 2020.0, "y": 2.0, "label": "YE Mar 2020" }, { "x": 2023.0, "y": 1.3, "label": "YE Mar 2023" }, { "x": 2024.0, "y": 1.3, "label": "YE Mar 2024" }, { "x": 2025.0, "y": 1.2, "label": "YE Mar 2025" }, { "x": 2026.0, "y": 1.1, "label": "YE Mar 2026" } ] } ], "unit": "%", "footer": "England and Wales • 1995–YE Mar 2026 • household risk; not the adult violence denominator.", "breaks": [ 2001, 2021, 2023 ], "survey": true, "sources": [ { "sha256": "571ebfce3148a186959fce90f1d8416bb549d1c27f01ef85e5e6d2ab649473d0", "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/datasets/crimeinenglandandwalesappendixtables", "note": "No estimates for the years ending March 2021 and 2022: face-to-face interviewing stopped during Covid.; Survey years run January–December to 1999, then April–March from 2001-02." } ] }, { "kind": "bars", "title": "THE THREAT\nHAS CHANGED", "rows": [ { "label": "YE Jun 2025", "value": 4.1 }, { "label": "YE Jun 2026", "value": 4.5 } ], "unit": "m", "footer": "England and Wales • survey fraud incidents; 11% from unrounded data, statistically significant.", "survey": true, "sources": [ { "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/bulletins/crimeinenglandandwales/yearendingjune2026", "note": "Rounded 4.1m/4.5m; 11% change from ONS unrounded estimates, statistically significant." } ] }, { "kind": "bars", "title": "NATIONAL FEAR.\nLOCAL EXPERIENCE.", "rows": [ { "label": "Crime up nationally", "value": 79.5 }, { "label": "Crime up locally", "value": 52.1 } ], "unit": "%", "footer": "England and Wales • adult survey • YE Mar 2026. Perceptions of change, not crime counts.", "survey": true, "sources": [ { "sha256": "c037ef0e13c77930f39924e15b1201b883490a5ea47df9d0c7d166970b266109", "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/datasets/crimeinenglandandwalesannualsupplementarytables", "note": "" } ] }, { "kind": "bars", "title": "SAFETY DOES NOT\nFEEL THE SAME", "rows": [ { "label": "Men feel safe", "value": 87.6 }, { "label": "Women feel safe", "value": 68.1 } ], "unit": "%", "footer": "England and Wales • adults 16+ • YE Mar 2026 • walking alone locally after dark.", "survey": true, "sources": [ { "sha256": "c037ef0e13c77930f39924e15b1201b883490a5ea47df9d0c7d166970b266109", "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/crimeandjustice/datasets/crimeinenglandandwalesannualsupplementarytables", "note": "" } ] } ], "publishedCases": [ { "label": "Brian’s £7,000 text-message scam — published Ombudsman example", "url": "https://www.financial-ombudsman.org.uk/businesses/resolving-complaint/case-studies/bank-said-victim-text-message-scam-grossly-negligent" } ], "interpretation": "Survey feelings, measured outcomes and individual published cases are distinct evidence. Connections are not quantified causal effects. Historical dates and methodological breaks are retained. Builder checks are not independent analytical assurance." }