{
  "title": "Your life isn’t split into government departments",
  "publication": "2026-11-01",
  "version": 2,
  "charts": [
    {
      "kind": "line",
      "title": "THE LONG-RUN\nGAP OPENS",
      "series": [
        {
          "label": "Typical full-time pay",
          "points": [
            {
              "x": 1995,
              "y": 0.0,
              "label": "1995"
            },
            {
              "x": 1996,
              "y": 3.7202893558387906,
              "label": "1996"
            },
            {
              "x": 1997,
              "y": 10.747502583534274,
              "label": "1997"
            },
            {
              "x": 1998,
              "y": 15.673441267654153,
              "label": "1998"
            },
            {
              "x": 1999,
              "y": 19.29038925249742,
              "label": "1999"
            },
            {
              "x": 2000,
              "y": 24.009645194626252,
              "label": "2000"
            },
            {
              "x": 2001,
              "y": 30.003444712366512,
              "label": "2001"
            },
            {
              "x": 2002,
              "y": 35.10161901481226,
              "label": "2002"
            },
            {
              "x": 2003,
              "y": 39.57974509128488,
              "label": "2003"
            },
            {
              "x": 2004,
              "y": 44.78126076472615,
              "label": "2004"
            },
            {
              "x": 2005,
              "y": 48.70823286255597,
              "label": "2005"
            },
            {
              "x": 2006,
              "y": 53.22080606269377,
              "label": "2006"
            },
            {
              "x": 2007,
              "y": 58.215638994143994,
              "label": "2007"
            },
            {
              "x": 2008,
              "y": 65.03616947984843,
              "label": "2008"
            },
            {
              "x": 2009,
              "y": 68.7564588356872,
              "label": "2009"
            },
            {
              "x": 2010,
              "y": 72.3389596968653,
              "label": "2010"
            },
            {
              "x": 2011,
              "y": 72.23561832586978,
              "label": "2011"
            },
            {
              "x": 2012,
              "y": 74.95694109541853,
              "label": "2012"
            },
            {
              "x": 2013,
              "y": 78.2983120909404,
              "label": "2013"
            },
            {
              "x": 2014,
              "y": 79.26283155356526,
              "label": "2014"
            },
            {
              "x": 2015,
              "y": 82.05304857044436,
              "label": "2015"
            },
            {
              "x": 2016,
              "y": 86.04891491560456,
              "label": "2016"
            },
            {
              "x": 2017,
              "y": 90.14812263176024,
              "label": "2017"
            },
            {
              "x": 2018,
              "y": 96.41749913882191,
              "label": "2018"
            },
            {
              "x": 2019,
              "y": 102.20461591457112,
              "label": "2019"
            },
            {
              "x": 2020,
              "y": 102.13572166724076,
              "label": "2020"
            },
            {
              "x": 2021,
              "y": 110.78194970719943,
              "label": "2021"
            },
            {
              "x": 2022,
              "y": 121.90837065105065,
              "label": "2022"
            },
            {
              "x": 2023,
              "y": 137.54736479503958,
              "label": "2023"
            },
            {
              "x": 2024,
              "y": 151.60179125043055,
              "label": "2024"
            },
            {
              "x": 2025,
              "y": 164.65725111953148,
              "label": "2025"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "label": "Average home price",
          "points": [
            {
              "x": 1995,
              "y": 0.0,
              "label": "1995"
            },
            {
              "x": 1996,
              "y": 3.660057152005902,
              "label": "1996"
            },
            {
              "x": 1997,
              "y": 12.775268415511576,
              "label": "1997"
            },
            {
              "x": 1998,
              "y": 25.696570394484695,
              "label": "1998"
            },
            {
              "x": 1999,
              "y": 39.36987245108361,
              "label": "1999"
            },
            {
              "x": 2000,
              "y": 60.169709436873234,
              "label": "2000"
            },
            {
              "x": 2001,
              "y": 73.21133142826648,
              "label": "2001"
            },
            {
              "x": 2002,
              "y": 101.14821517228889,
              "label": "2002"
            },
            {
              "x": 2003,
              "y": 132.69114143908558,
              "label": "2003"
            },
            {
              "x": 2004,
              "y": 160.30070299878224,
              "label": "2004"
            },
            {
              "x": 2005,
              "y": 179.29913592765274,
              "label": "2005"
            },
            {
              "x": 2006,
              "y": 201.24605604260367,
              "label": "2006"
            },
            {
              "x": 2007,
              "y": 231.07021740079662,
              "label": "2007"
            },
            {
              "x": 2008,
              "y": 216.15457887187054,
              "label": "2008"
            },
            {
              "x": 2009,
              "y": 188.0799093071734,
              "label": "2009"
            },
            {
              "x": 2010,
              "y": 204.55615014773164,
              "label": "2010"
            },
            {
              "x": 2011,
              "y": 200.12921463699422,
              "label": "2011"
            },
            {
              "x": 2012,
              "y": 201.32271153438745,
              "label": "2012"
            },
            {
              "x": 2013,
              "y": 209.07009125884812,
              "label": "2013"
            },
            {
              "x": 2014,
              "y": 233.88350629335116,
              "label": "2014"
            },
            {
              "x": 2015,
              "y": 253.76250705505447,
              "label": "2015"
            },
            {
              "x": 2016,
              "y": 278.4945767048165,
              "label": "2016"
            },
            {
              "x": 2017,
              "y": 295.7952683831675,
              "label": "2017"
            },
            {
              "x": 2018,
              "y": 308.2225143971628,
              "label": "2018"
            },
            {
              "x": 2019,
              "y": 312.2585715879816,
              "label": "2019"
            },
            {
              "x": 2020,
              "y": 324.0727353881534,
              "label": "2020"
            },
            {
              "x": 2021,
              "y": 358.5987570166459,
              "label": "2021"
            },
            {
              "x": 2022,
              "y": 401.1448190429061,
              "label": "2022"
            },
            {
              "x": 2023,
              "y": 402.5420837032688,
              "label": "2023"
            },
            {
              "x": 2024,
              "y": 405.6007025136209,
              "label": "2024"
            },
            {
              "x": 2025,
              "y": 418.4804423377661,
              "label": "2025"
            }
          ],
          "color": "#C96A50"
        }
      ],
      "unit": "%",
      "footer": "1995–2025 • GB gross full-time median pay / UK home prices; pay breaks marked. Not one household’s cash budget.",
      "breaks": [
        1997,
        2004,
        2006,
        2011,
        2021,
        2023
      ],
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/datasets/earningstimeseriesofmediangrossweeklyearningsfrom1968to2022",
          "note": "NES / ASHE as published in one official historical workbook. Later-basis observation selected where source publishes overlap. No adjustments to remove breaks. Gaps in the drawn pay line at method changes. Long-run comparisons are approximate, not a single consistently sampled panel."
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/uk-house-price-index-reports",
          "note": ""
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "kind": "bars",
      "title": "THE RECENT SHOCK\nCHANGED THE FEEL",
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Pay rise, 2021–25",
          "value": 25.559731982350065
        },
        {
          "label": "Food-price rise, 2021–25",
          "value": 35.796545105566224
        },
        {
          "label": "Gas-price rise, 2021–25",
          "value": 73.58708189158016
        }
      ],
      "unit": "%",
      "footer": "Published annual levels • gross median pay is not disposable income. Spending patterns differ.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/datasets/earningstimeseriesofmediangrossweeklyearningsfrom1968to2022",
          "note": "NES / ASHE as published in one official historical workbook. Later-basis observation selected where source publishes overlap. No adjustments to remove breaks. Gaps in the drawn pay line at method changes. Long-run comparisons are approximate, not a single consistently sampled panel."
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/d7bu/mm23",
          "note": ""
        },
        {
          "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/d7du/mm23",
          "note": ""
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "kind": "twoStats",
      "title": "HEALTH PRESSURE\nIS NOT ONE NUMBER",
      "panels": [
        {
          "value": "7.37m",
          "label": "England: treatment waits"
        },
        {
          "value": "2.74m",
          "label": "UK: long-term sick inactive, 16–64"
        }
      ],
      "footer": "Aug 2026 • different populations and measures; do not add or infer that one caused the other.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "sha256": "19bfd62baf4b49d60f61384497dc70cfa3bc73f390645e0c061d8816a5a7c740",
          "url": "https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/10/RTT-Overview-Timeseries-Including-Estimates-for-Missing-Trusts-Aug26-XLS-139K-vjgRdG.xlsx",
          "note": "Early RTT reporting (2007–08) was less complete; NHS England estimates fill gaps for missing trusts. Several large trusts did not report during IT changes in 2016–2023, also estimated.; From February 2024, community-service pathways are no longer reported in RTT, which lowered the list slightly."
        },
        {
          "sha256": "7fb6c379095d54b930abd432dd1cad5d9344cb9d06180e3f3c409d36e7711b22",
          "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/economicinactivity/timeseries/lf69/lms",
          "note": "LFS reweighting in 2024 (and earlier in 2022) to new population estimates; ONS flags volatility in 2023–24 estimates."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "kind": "bars",
      "title": "WHAT PEOPLE\nWANT ADDRESSED",
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Cost of living",
          "value": 89
        },
        {
          "label": "NHS",
          "value": 79
        },
        {
          "label": "Economy",
          "value": 70
        },
        {
          "label": "Immigration",
          "value": 61
        },
        {
          "label": "Crime",
          "value": 58
        }
      ],
      "unit": "%",
      "footer": "ONS • GB adults • 5–30 Aug 2026 • n=3,560; multiple responses, not shares of a pie.",
      "survey": true,
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/wellbeing/bulletins/publicopinionsandsocialtrendsgreatbritain/august2026",
          "retrieved": "2026-11-01",
          "sha256": "5f1f819636906f090c6e0dfc27f89a4f54de98ccbc9f94d3df9c5246a68b8079",
          "method": "ONS Opinions and Lifestyle Survey, Great Britain adults, 5–30 August 2026. 3,560 responses from 8,730 sampled adults (41% response). Multiple answers permitted. Employment selected as important: 31% August 2024, 42% August 2025, 54% August 2026. Not unemployment rates."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "kind": "split",
      "title": "IMPROVEMENT AND\nPRESSURE CAN COEXIST",
      "panels": [
        {
          "title": "NHS satisfaction",
          "before": "20% in 2024",
          "after": "26% in 2025"
        },
        {
          "title": "Home price / pay",
          "before": "9.06× in 2021",
          "after": "7.63× in 2025"
        }
      ],
      "footer": "Separate measures: GB adult survey / England price-to-pay ratio. Neither proves every household is better off.",
      "survey": true,
      "sources": [
        {
          "sha256": "a2b9a0ee05a67297124e4d45119ebb20cceb51b68df6507bce21bd0df4f5360a",
          "url": "https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/insight-and-analysis/reports/public-satisfaction-nhs-social-care-2025-bsa",
          "note": "",
          "method": "BSA, GB adults, 1996–2025. 2025 satisfied 26%, dissatisfied 51%. Mode change in 2020 is marked; feelings are not waiting-time performance."
        },
        {
          "sha256": "5f9e3f0a59cb834b0c28ab6c46b5b010c2b37bb6f5346576e7591d86c3c60134",
          "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing/datasets/ratioofhousepricetoworkplacebasedearningslowerquartileandmedian",
          "note": "Earnings for 1997–1998 are annualised weekly earnings, not annual — treat those two years with care."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "kind": "bars",
      "title": "A G7 LENS\nON LONG-RUN GROWTH",
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Canada",
          "value": 26.59686798055343,
          "highlight": false
        },
        {
          "label": "France",
          "value": 23.806814602874617,
          "highlight": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Germany",
          "value": 23.04922211618896,
          "highlight": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Italy",
          "value": 2.385486880058596,
          "highlight": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Japan",
          "value": 19.410132811672987,
          "highlight": false
        },
        {
          "label": "UK",
          "value": 33.260258063430825,
          "highlight": true
        },
        {
          "label": "US",
          "value": 60.91062477631481,
          "highlight": false
        }
      ],
      "unit": "%",
      "footer": "1995–2025 • World Bank/ILO modelled growth in real output per worker; not pay or output per hour.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "url": "https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/GBR;USA;DEU;FRA;ITA;JPN;CAN/indicator/SL.GDP.PCAP.EM.KD?format=json&date=1991:2025&per_page=1000",
          "note": "World Bank/ILO modelled output per person employed; constant 2021 PPP dollars. Growth is not wages or output per hour. API updated 2026-10-08",
          "sha256": "6fe1215a168a108f148fb8273f09b2a266a1ee0435c90c6849afe572c193d15c"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "publishedCases": [
    {
      "label": "Steve and Lowri — Trussell published accounts",
      "url": "https://www.trussell.org.uk/our-work/what-we-do/who-needs-food-banks"
    },
    {
      "label": "Will — Shelter’s 2019 account",
      "url": "https://england.shelter.org.uk/media/press_release/a_child_becomes_homeless_in_britain_every_eight_minutes"
    },
    {
      "label": "Dr Inna Soldatenko — UNHCR, 2026",
      "url": "https://www.unhcr.org/news/stories/fleeing-kharkiv-caring-patients-uk-inna-s-story"
    }
  ],
  "interpretation": "Survey feelings, measured outcomes and individual published cases are distinct evidence. Connections are not quantified causal effects. Historical dates and methodological breaks are retained. Builder checks are not independent analytical assurance."
}